Although the U.S. Constitution bars a third presidential term, polling reveals that former President Barack Obama would defeat Donald Trump if both ran again in 2028. A recent survey by Daily Mail/J.L. Partners shows Obama with 52% support, compared to 41% for Trump.
Obama’s lead is bolstered by strong backing from Hispanic and Black voters, as well as independents. Trump’s support remains resilient but less broad, with gains over other Democrat candidates. Trump himself has entertained the possibility of a third run, citing “methods” to bypass term limits, though this faces significant legal obstacles.
The poll underscores the lasting influence of Obama and Trump in American politics despite constitutional restrictions.
